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Perhaps the best summary of the housing situation I have seen on the web
This Link is located in the Public Channel Housing Bubble and Bear Links.
Posted by ian 1 year 90 days ago (efinancedirectory.com).  Views: 585
Tags: housing bubble
Related Tags: wall street  credit crisis  economics  countrywide  banks  peter schiff  gold  
Written in early July 2007 before the worst of the subprime mortgage meltdown. Contains fantastic graphs showing Median Wage vs. Home Price and house prices in Japan during their bubble and subsequent depression.

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ian said
1 year 90 days ago
 
Cause of the Great Depression - Debt

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Depression

Debt

Macroeconomists, including the current chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank System Ben Bernanke, have revived the debt-deflation view of the Great Depression originated by Arthur Cecil Pigou and Irving Fisher. In the 1920s, in the U.S. the widespread use of purchases of businesses and factories on credit and the use of home mortgages and credit purchases of automobiles, furniture and even some stocks boosted spending but created consumer and commercial debt. People and businesses who were deeply in debt when a price deflation occurred or demand for their product decreased were often in serious trouble—even if they kept their jobs, they risked default. Many drastically cut current spending to keep up time payments, thus lowering demand for new products. Businesses began to fail as construction work and factory orders plunged.

Massive layoffs occurred, resulting in unemployment rates of over 25%. Banks which had financed a lot of this debt began to fail as debtors defaulted on debt and bank depositors became worried about their deposits and began massive withdrawals. Government guarantees and Federal Reserve banking regulations to prevent these types of panics were ineffective or not used. Bank failures led to the evaporation of billions of dollars in assets. Up to 40% of the available money supply normally used for purchases and bank payments was destroyed by all these bank failures.

Furthermore, the debt became heavier, because prices and incomes fell 20–50%, but the debts remained at the same dollar amount. After the panic of 1929, and during the first 10 months of 1930, 744 banks failed. In all, 9,000 banks failed during the decade of the 30s. By 1933, depositors saw $140 billion of their deposits disappear due to uninsured bank failures. [1] Bank failures snowballed as desperate bankers tried calling in loans which the borrowers did not have time or money to repay. With future profits looking poor, capital investment and construction slowed or completely ceased. In the face of bad loans and worsening future prospects, the surviving banks became even more conservative in their lending. [2] Banks built up their capital reserves, which intensified deflationary pressures. The vicious cycle developed and the downward spiral accelerated. This kind of self-aggravating process may have turned a 1930 recession into a 1933 great depression.

Present day:

http://www.myprops.org/content/Why-Consumer-Debt-is-Rising/

For the first time ever recorded, Americans owe more money than they make. Household debt levels have now surpassed household income by more than eight percent, reaching 108.4 percent in 2005 In 1952, the average debt to income (disposable income) ratio was less than 40 percent. Now, it's 126 percent.

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ian said
1 year 90 days ago
 
Japan

After reaching peak values, Japanese home prices declined by an average of 40 percent. In the country's largest cities, the declines were worse, averaging 65 percent. Homes in Tokyo lost 80 percent of their value and are still on the downward slide to this day.

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